Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026
Newark → St Louis via Chicago: arrives on time 55%
-
10:24 EWR → 12:06 ORDUA 1525 · United · 2h 42m · 79% on time, 0.9% cancelled
-
49m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
-
12:55 ORD → 14:23 STLUA 4581 · United, flown by GoJet · 1h 28m · 80% on time, 4.2% cancelled
Total trip 4h 59m, scheduled departure to arrival (St Louis is 1 h behind Newark). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.
Makes the connection72%The first flight arrived more than 4 minutes late on 28% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 49m layover.
Arrives on time55%First flight not cancelled (0.9% are) × connection made (72%) × second flight not cancelled (4.2% are) and within 15 minutes (80%).
Total trip4h 59mEWR 10:24 to STL 14:23, layover included
Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.
Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.