tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Minneapolis → Des Moines via Chicago: arrives on time 54%

  1. 15:16 MSP → 16:58 ORD
    UA 1531 · United · 1h 42m · 55% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 2h 47m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:45 ORD → 21:22 DSM
    UA 1325 · United · 1h 37m · 64% on time, 6.7% cancelled

Total trip 6h 06m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 30 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection91%The first flight arrived more than 122 minutes late on 9% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 47m layover.
Arrives on time54%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (91%) × second flight not cancelled (6.7% are) and within 15 minutes (64%).
Total trip6h 06mMSP 15:16 to DSM 21:22, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.