tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Minneapolis → Charlotte via Chicago: arrives on time 31%

  1. 15:16 MSP → 16:58 ORD
    UA 1531 · United · 1h 42m · 55% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 1h 17m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:15 ORD → 21:29 CLT
    UA 1748 · United · 2h 14m · 43% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 5h 13m, scheduled departure to arrival (Charlotte is 1 h ahead of Minneapolis). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection74%The first flight arrived more than 32 minutes late on 26% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 17m layover.
Arrives on time31%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (74%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (43%).
Total trip5h 13mMSP 15:16 to CLT 21:29, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.