tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Minneapolis → Albuquerque via Chicago: arrives on time 66%

  1. 15:16 MSP → 16:58 ORD
    UA 1531 · United · 1h 42m · 55% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 3h 02m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:00 ORD → 22:34 ABQ
    UA 3640 · United, flown by Republic · 3h 34m · 76% on time, 5.6% cancelled

Total trip 8h 18m, scheduled departure to arrival (Albuquerque is 1 h behind Minneapolis). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection92%The first flight arrived more than 137 minutes late on 8% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 02m layover.
Arrives on time66%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (92%) × second flight not cancelled (5.6% are) and within 15 minutes (76%).
Total trip8h 18mMSP 15:16 to ABQ 22:34, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.