tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Minneapolis → Columbus via Chicago: arrives on time 21%

  1. 15:16 MSP → 16:58 ORD
    UA 1531 · United · 1h 42m · 55% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 47m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:45 ORD → 20:24 CMH
    UA 3674 · United, flown by Republic · 1h 39m · 79% on time, 6.9% cancelled

Total trip 4h 08m, scheduled departure to arrival (Columbus is 1 h ahead of Minneapolis). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection29%The first flight arrived more than 2 minutes late on 71% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 47m layover.
Arrives on time21%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (29%) × second flight not cancelled (6.9% are) and within 15 minutes (79%).
Total trip4h 08mMSP 15:16 to CMH 20:24, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.