tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Reno → Chicago via Denver: arrives on time 43%

  1. 13:41 RNO → 16:55 DEN
    UA 1534 · United · 2h 14m · 81% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 05m layover in Denver (DEN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:00 DEN → 21:39 ORD
    UA 1411 · United · 2h 39m · 50% on time, 0.8% cancelled

Total trip 5h 58m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 2 h ahead of Reno). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection87%The first flight arrived more than 20 minutes late on 13% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 05m layover.
Arrives on time43%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (87%) × second flight not cancelled (0.8% are) and within 15 minutes (50%).
Total trip5h 58mRNO 13:41 to ORD 21:39, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.