tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Reno → Minneapolis via Denver: arrives on time 68%

  1. 13:41 RNO → 16:55 DEN
    UA 1534 · United · 2h 14m · 81% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 50m layover in Denver (DEN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:45 DEN → 21:50 MSP
    UA 2076 · United · 2h 05m · 76% on time, 0.3% cancelled

Total trip 6h 09m, scheduled departure to arrival (Minneapolis is 2 h ahead of Reno). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection90%The first flight arrived more than 65 minutes late on 10% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 50m layover.
Arrives on time68%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (90%) × second flight not cancelled (0.3% are) and within 15 minutes (76%).
Total trip6h 09mRNO 13:41 to MSP 21:50, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.