tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Reno → Minneapolis via Denver: arrives on time 57%

  1. 13:41 RNO → 16:55 DEN
    UA 1534 · United · 2h 14m · 81% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 59m layover in Denver (DEN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:54 DEN → 23:59 MSP
    UA 667 · United · 2h 05m · 59% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 18m, scheduled departure to arrival (Minneapolis is 2 h ahead of Reno). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 194 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 59m layover.
Arrives on time57%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (59%).
Total trip8h 18mRNO 13:41 to MSP 23:59, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.