tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Raleigh/Durham → Tampa via Dulles: arrives on time 77%

  1. 10:32 RDU → 11:43 IAD
    UA 1535 · United · 1h 11m · 90% on time, 0.7% cancelled
  2. 1h 06m layover in Dulles (IAD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:49 IAD → 15:15 TPA
    UA 2277 · United · 2h 26m · 86% on time, 0.3% cancelled

Total trip 4h 43m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection91%The first flight arrived more than 21 minutes late on 9% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 06m layover.
Arrives on time77%First flight not cancelled (0.7% are) × connection made (91%) × second flight not cancelled (0.3% are) and within 15 minutes (86%).
Total trip4h 43mRDU 10:32 to TPA 15:15, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.