Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026
Santa Ana → Minneapolis via Newark: arrives on time 35%
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12:29 SNA → 20:56 EWRUA 1559 · United · 5h 27m · 64% on time, 1.4% cancelled
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59m layover in Newark (EWR) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
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21:55 EWR → 23:59 MSPUA 1331 · United · 3h 04m · 62% on time, 11.1% cancelled
Total trip 9h 30m, scheduled departure to arrival (Minneapolis is 2 h ahead of Santa Ana). Times are local. Both flew on 36 of the last 56 days.
Makes the connection63%The first flight arrived more than 14 minutes late on 37% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 59m layover.
Arrives on time35%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (63%) × second flight not cancelled (11.1% are) and within 15 minutes (62%).
Total trip9h 30mSNA 12:29 to MSP 23:59, layover included
Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.
Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.