Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026
Santa Ana → Dulles via Newark: arrives on time 43%
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12:29 SNA → 20:56 EWRUA 1559 · United · 5h 27m · 64% on time, 1.4% cancelled
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54m layover in Newark (EWR) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
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21:50 EWR → 23:19 IADUA 1784 · United · 1h 29m · 79% on time, 5.3% cancelled
Total trip 7h 50m, scheduled departure to arrival (Dulles is 3 h ahead of Santa Ana). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.
Makes the connection59%The first flight arrived more than 9 minutes late on 41% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 54m layover.
Arrives on time43%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (59%) × second flight not cancelled (5.3% are) and within 15 minutes (79%).
Total trip7h 50mSNA 12:29 to IAD 23:19, layover included
Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.
Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.