tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dallas-Fort Worth → Springfield via Chicago: arrives on time 46%

  1. 17:47 DFW → 20:30 ORD
    UA 1564 · United · 2h 43m · 60% on time, 1.1% cancelled
  2. 1h 00m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:30 ORD → 23:27 SGF
    UA 4451 · United, flown by GoJet · 1h 57m · 87% on time, 11.5% cancelled

Total trip 5h 40m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection60%The first flight arrived more than 15 minutes late on 40% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 00m layover.
Arrives on time46%First flight not cancelled (1.1% are) × connection made (60%) × second flight not cancelled (11.5% are) and within 15 minutes (87%).
Total trip5h 40mDFW 17:47 to SGF 23:27, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.