tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Newark → Dulles via Tampa: arrives on time 81%

  1. 09:05 EWR → 11:59 TPA
    UA 1576 · United · 2h 54m · 81% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 01m layover in Tampa (TPA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:00 TPA → 16:22 IAD
    UA 1576 · United · 2h 22m · 85% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 17m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 37 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 76 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 01m layover.
Arrives on time81%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (85%).
Total trip7h 17mEWR 09:05 to IAD 16:22, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.