tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Tampa → Charlotte via Dulles: arrives on time 58%

  1. 14:00 TPA → 16:22 IAD
    UA 1576 · United · 2h 22m · 85% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 58m layover in Dulles (IAD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:20 IAD → 19:02 CLT
    UA 6209 · United, flown by Mesa · 1h 42m · 73% on time, 5.4% cancelled

Total trip 5h 02m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection85%The first flight arrived more than 13 minutes late on 15% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 58m layover.
Arrives on time58%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (85%) × second flight not cancelled (5.4% are) and within 15 minutes (73%).
Total trip5h 02mTPA 14:00 to CLT 19:02, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.