Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Jackson via San Francisco: arrives on time 62%

  1. 14:30 ORD → 17:19 SFO
    UA 1577 · United · 4h 49m · 74% on time, 1.1% cancelled
  2. 51m layover in San Francisco (SFO) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:10 SFO → 21:30 JAC
    UA 1958 · United · 2h 20m · 95% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 00m, scheduled departure to arrival (Jackson is 1 h behind Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 32 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection66%The first flight arrived more than 6 minutes late on 34% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 51m layover.
Arrives on time62%First flight not cancelled (1.1% are) × connection made (66%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (95%).
Total trip8h 00mORD 14:30 to JAC 21:30, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.