Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Seattle → Redmond via San Francisco: arrives on time 26%

  1. 07:00 SEA → 09:18 SFO
    UA 1578 · United · 2h 18m · 11% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 10m layover in San Francisco (SFO) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:28 SFO → 12:12 RDM
    UA 2153 · United · 1h 44m · 91% on time, 0.3% cancelled

Total trip 5h 12m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 35 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection29%The first flight arrived more than 25 minutes late on 71% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 10m layover.
Arrives on time26%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (29%) × second flight not cancelled (0.3% are) and within 15 minutes (91%).
Total trip5h 12mSEA 07:00 to RDM 12:12, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.