tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Newark → Denver via Nashville: arrives on time 27%

  1. 15:00 EWR → 16:32 BNA
    UA 1608 · United · 2h 32m · 72% on time, 1.9% cancelled
  2. 58m layover in Nashville (BNA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:30 BNA → 19:36 DEN
    UA 1268 · United · 3h 06m · 40% on time, 3.2% cancelled

Total trip 6h 36m, scheduled departure to arrival (Denver is 2 h behind Newark). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection70%The first flight arrived more than 13 minutes late on 30% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 58m layover.
Arrives on time27%First flight not cancelled (1.9% are) × connection made (70%) × second flight not cancelled (3.2% are) and within 15 minutes (40%).
Total trip6h 36mEWR 15:00 to DEN 19:36, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.