tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Little Rock via Denver: arrives on time 50%

  1. 13:31 PHX → 16:27 DEN
    UA 1615 · United · 1h 56m · 75% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 58m layover in Denver (DEN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:25 DEN → 20:37 LIT
    UA 1282 · United · 2h 12m · 69% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 06m, scheduled departure to arrival (Little Rock is 2 h ahead of Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection73%The first flight arrived more than 13 minutes late on 27% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 58m layover.
Arrives on time50%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (73%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (69%).
Total trip5h 06mPHX 13:31 to LIT 20:37, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.