tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Nashville → Providence via Chicago: arrives on time 64%

  1. 12:49 BNA → 14:50 ORD
    UA 1616 · United · 2h 01m · 81% on time, 2.1% cancelled
  2. 3h 00m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:50 ORD → 21:33 PVD
    UA 5442 · United, flown by SkyWest · 2h 43m · 74% on time, 8.1% cancelled

Total trip 7h 44m, scheduled departure to arrival (Providence is 1 h ahead of Nashville). Times are local. Both flew on 37 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 135 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 00m layover.
Arrives on time64%First flight not cancelled (2.1% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (8.1% are) and within 15 minutes (74%).
Total trip7h 44mBNA 12:49 to PVD 21:33, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.