tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Newark → Long Beach via Nashville: arrives on time 43%

  1. 10:55 EWR → 12:18 BNA
    UA 1616 · United · 2h 23m · 77% on time, 2.8% cancelled
  2. 2h 30m layover in Nashville (BNA) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 14:48 BNA → 17:02 LGB
    WN 1427 · Southwest · 4h 15m · 48% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 9h 08m, scheduled departure to arrival (Long Beach is 3 h behind Newark). Times are local. Both flew on 47 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection91%The first flight arrived more than 60 minutes late on 9% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 30m layover.
Arrives on time43%First flight not cancelled (2.8% are) × connection made (91%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (48%).
Total trip9h 08mEWR 10:55 to LGB 17:02, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.