tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Honolulu → Houston via Los Angeles: arrives on time 67%

  1. 15:15 HNL → 23:47 LAX
    UA 1636 · United · 5h 32m · 70% on time, 1.1% cancelled
  2. 1h 04m layover in Los Angeles (LAX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 00:51 LAX → 06:12 IAH +1 day
    UA 491 · United · 3h 21m · 92% on time, 0.7% cancelled

Total trip 9h 57m, scheduled departure to arrival (Houston is 5 h ahead of Honolulu). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection74%The first flight arrived more than 19 minutes late on 26% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 04m layover.
Arrives on time67%First flight not cancelled (1.1% are) × connection made (74%) × second flight not cancelled (0.7% are) and within 15 minutes (92%).
Total trip9h 57mHNL 15:15 to IAH 06:12, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.