tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Boston → Asheville via Newark: arrives on time 38%

  1. 17:44 BOS → 19:15 EWR
    UA 1647 · United · 1h 31m · 41% on time, 3.3% cancelled
  2. 1h 44m layover in Newark (EWR) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:59 EWR → 23:15 AVL
    UA 4405 · United, flown by GoJet · 2h 16m · 69% on time, 12.7% cancelled

Total trip 5h 31m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection66%The first flight arrived more than 59 minutes late on 34% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 44m layover.
Arrives on time38%First flight not cancelled (3.3% are) × connection made (66%) × second flight not cancelled (12.7% are) and within 15 minutes (69%).
Total trip5h 31mBOS 17:44 to AVL 23:15, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.