tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Cleveland → Las Vegas via Chicago: arrives on time 47%

  1. 18:05 CLE → 18:44 ORD
    UA 1673 · United · 1h 39m · 53% on time, 3.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 06m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:50 ORD → 21:59 LAS
    UA 2242 · United · 4h 09m · 78% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 54m, scheduled departure to arrival (Las Vegas is 3 h behind Cleveland). Times are local. Both flew on 36 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection62%The first flight arrived more than 21 minutes late on 38% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 06m layover.
Arrives on time47%First flight not cancelled (3.0% are) × connection made (62%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (78%).
Total trip6h 54mCLE 18:05 to LAS 21:59, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.