tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Fairbanks via Portland: arrives on time 74%

  1. 16:15 ORD → 18:47 PDX
    UA 1677 · United · 4h 32m · 57% on time, 2.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 12m layover in Portland (PDX) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 21:59 PDX → 00:55 FAI +1 day
    AS 1521 · Alaska · 3h 56m · 90% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 11h 40m, scheduled departure to arrival (Fairbanks is 3 h behind Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 37 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection84%The first flight arrived more than 102 minutes late on 16% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 12m layover.
Arrives on time74%First flight not cancelled (2.0% are) × connection made (84%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (90%).
Total trip11h 40mORD 16:15 to FAI 00:55, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.