Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Kansas City via Chicago: arrives on time 31%

  1. 14:45 PHX → 20:27 ORD
    UA 1686 · United · 3h 42m · 61% on time, 0.5% cancelled
  2. 58m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:25 ORD → 23:17 MCI
    UA 4723 · United, flown by SkyWest · 1h 52m · 59% on time, 8.6% cancelled

Total trip 6h 32m, scheduled departure to arrival (Kansas City is 2 h ahead of Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 35 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection58%The first flight arrived more than 13 minutes late on 42% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 58m layover.
Arrives on time31%First flight not cancelled (0.5% are) × connection made (58%) × second flight not cancelled (8.6% are) and within 15 minutes (59%).
Total trip6h 32mPHX 14:45 to MCI 23:17, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.