Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026
Phoenix → Dulles via Chicago: arrives on time 53%
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14:45 PHX → 20:27 ORDUA 1686 · United · 3h 42m · 61% on time, 0.5% cancelled
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1h 13m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
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21:40 ORD → 00:45 IAD +1 dayUA 2766 · United · 2h 05m · 69% on time, 0.0% cancelled
Total trip 7h 00m, scheduled departure to arrival (Dulles is 3 h ahead of Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 36 of the last 56 days.
Makes the connection76%The first flight arrived more than 28 minutes late on 24% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 13m layover.
Arrives on time53%First flight not cancelled (0.5% are) × connection made (76%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (69%).
Total trip7h 00mPHX 14:45 to IAD 00:45, layover included
Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.