tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dulles → Phoenix via Los Angeles: arrives on time 84%

  1. 13:10 IAD → 15:42 LAX
    UA 1689 · United · 5h 32m · 90% on time, 0.5% cancelled
  2. 1h 59m layover in Los Angeles (LAX) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 17:41 LAX → 19:15 PHX
    DL 4077 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 1h 34m · 88% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 9h 05m, scheduled departure to arrival (Phoenix is 3 h behind Dulles). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 29 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 1h 59m layover.
Arrives on time84%First flight not cancelled (0.5% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (88%).
Total trip9h 05mIAD 13:10 to PHX 19:15, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.