tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dulles → San Diego via Los Angeles: arrives on time 83%

  1. 13:10 IAD → 15:42 LAX
    UA 1689 · United · 5h 32m · 90% on time, 0.5% cancelled
  2. 3h 08m layover in Los Angeles (LAX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:50 LAX → 19:51 SAN
    UA 5415 · United, flown by SkyWest · 1h 01m · 86% on time, 2.1% cancelled

Total trip 9h 41m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Diego is 3 h behind Dulles). Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 143 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 08m layover.
Arrives on time83%First flight not cancelled (0.5% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (2.1% are) and within 15 minutes (86%).
Total trip9h 41mIAD 13:10 to SAN 19:51, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.