tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dulles → Oakland via Los Angeles: arrives on time 76%

  1. 13:10 IAD → 15:42 LAX
    UA 1689 · United · 5h 32m · 90% on time, 0.5% cancelled
  2. 2h 03m layover in Los Angeles (LAX) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 17:45 LAX → 19:05 OAK
    WN 2418 · Southwest · 1h 20m · 80% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 55m, scheduled departure to arrival (Oakland is 3 h behind Dulles). Times are local. Both flew on 47 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 33 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 03m layover.
Arrives on time76%First flight not cancelled (0.5% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (80%).
Total trip8h 55mIAD 13:10 to OAK 19:05, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.