tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dallas-Fort Worth → St Louis via Chicago: arrives on time 60%

  1. 07:08 DFW → 09:50 ORD
    UA 1695 · United · 2h 42m · 82% on time, 2.8% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:40 ORD → 12:11 STL
    UA 1355 · United · 1h 31m · 91% on time, 2.8% cancelled

Total trip 5h 03m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection69%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 31% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time60%First flight not cancelled (2.8% are) × connection made (69%) × second flight not cancelled (2.8% are) and within 15 minutes (91%).
Total trip5h 03mDFW 07:08 to STL 12:11, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.