tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Bozeman → New York via San Francisco: arrives on time 84%

  1. 16:17 BZN → 17:50 SFO
    UA 1702 · United · 2h 33m · 56% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 40m layover in San Francisco (SFO) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 21:30 SFO → 06:20 JFK +1 day
    AS 211 · Alaska · 5h 50m · 92% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 12h 03m, scheduled departure to arrival (New York is 2 h ahead of Bozeman). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection92%The first flight arrived more than 130 minutes late on 8% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 40m layover.
Arrives on time84%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (92%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (92%).
Total trip12h 03mBZN 16:17 to JFK 06:20, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.