tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Newark → Memphis via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 84%

  1. 06:40 EWR → 09:24 DFW
    UA 1712 · United · 3h 44m · 100% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 13m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 12:37 DFW → 14:16 MEM
    AA 3676 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 39m · 85% on time, 1.8% cancelled

Total trip 8h 36m, scheduled departure to arrival (Memphis is 1 h behind Newark). Times are local. Both flew on 27 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 103 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 13m layover.
Arrives on time84%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (1.8% are) and within 15 minutes (85%).
Total trip8h 36mEWR 06:40 to MEM 14:16, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.