tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Seattle → Santa Barbara via Los Angeles: arrives on time 85%

  1. 17:04 SEA → 19:53 LAX
    UA 1730 · United · 2h 49m · 89% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 51m layover in Los Angeles (LAX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:44 LAX → 23:44 SBA
    UA 4796 · United, flown by SkyWest · 1h 00m · 88% on time, 0.6% cancelled

Total trip 6h 40m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 126 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 51m layover.
Arrives on time85%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (0.6% are) and within 15 minutes (88%).
Total trip6h 40mSEA 17:04 to SBA 23:44, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.