tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Jacksonville → Phoenix via Chicago: arrives on time 75%

  1. 07:20 JAX → 09:12 ORD
    UA 1733 · United · 2h 52m · 93% on time, 0.8% cancelled
  2. 1h 13m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:25 ORD → 12:26 PHX
    UA 2822 · United · 4h 01m · 78% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 06m, scheduled departure to arrival (Phoenix is 3 h behind Jacksonville). Times are local. Both flew on 37 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 28 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 13m layover.
Arrives on time75%First flight not cancelled (0.8% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (78%).
Total trip8h 06mJAX 07:20 to PHX 12:26, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.