tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Bozeman → Los Angeles via Chicago: arrives on time 34%

  1. 16:24 BZN → 20:40 ORD
    UA 1744 · United · 3h 16m · 66% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:30 ORD → 00:09 LAX +1 day
    UA 661 · United · 4h 39m · 64% on time, 0.5% cancelled

Total trip 8h 45m, scheduled departure to arrival (Los Angeles is 1 h behind Bozeman). Times are local. Both flew on 27 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection54%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 46% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time34%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (54%) × second flight not cancelled (0.5% are) and within 15 minutes (64%).
Total trip8h 45mBZN 16:24 to LAX 00:09, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.