tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Dulles via Denver: arrives on time 86%

  1. 18:59 PHX → 21:54 DEN
    UA 1745 · United · 1h 55m · 77% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 05m layover in Denver (DEN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 23:59 DEN → 05:27 IAD +1 day
    UA 1924 · United · 3h 28m · 94% on time, 0.6% cancelled

Total trip 7h 28m, scheduled departure to arrival (Dulles is 3 h ahead of Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection92%The first flight arrived more than 80 minutes late on 8% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 05m layover.
Arrives on time86%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (92%) × second flight not cancelled (0.6% are) and within 15 minutes (94%).
Total trip7h 28mPHX 18:59 to IAD 05:27, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.