Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Milwaukee via Chicago: arrives on time 31%

  1. 11:12 PHX → 16:54 ORD
    UA 1748 · United · 3h 42m · 78% on time, 1.2% cancelled
  2. 51m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:45 ORD → 18:48 MKE
    UA 5555 · United, flown by SkyWest · 1h 03m · 52% on time, 4.4% cancelled

Total trip 5h 36m, scheduled departure to arrival (Milwaukee is 2 h ahead of Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection64%The first flight arrived more than 6 minutes late on 36% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 51m layover.
Arrives on time31%First flight not cancelled (1.2% are) × connection made (64%) × second flight not cancelled (4.4% are) and within 15 minutes (52%).
Total trip5h 36mPHX 11:12 to MKE 18:48, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.