Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Columbus via Chicago: arrives on time 46%

  1. 11:12 PHX → 16:54 ORD
    UA 1748 · United · 3h 42m · 78% on time, 1.2% cancelled
  2. 51m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:45 ORD → 20:24 CMH
    UA 3674 · United, flown by Republic · 1h 39m · 79% on time, 6.9% cancelled

Total trip 6h 12m, scheduled departure to arrival (Columbus is 3 h ahead of Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection64%The first flight arrived more than 6 minutes late on 36% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 51m layover.
Arrives on time46%First flight not cancelled (1.2% are) × connection made (64%) × second flight not cancelled (6.9% are) and within 15 minutes (79%).
Total trip6h 12mPHX 11:12 to CMH 20:24, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.