tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Hartford → Philadelphia via Dulles: arrives on time 41%

  1. 15:02 BDL → 16:35 IAD
    UA 1764 · United · 1h 33m · 73% on time, 2.9% cancelled
  2. 1h 00m layover in Dulles (IAD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:35 IAD → 18:54 PHL
    UA 4534 · United, flown by GoJet · 1h 19m · 66% on time, 11.1% cancelled

Total trip 3h 52m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 36 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection73%The first flight arrived more than 15 minutes late on 27% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 00m layover.
Arrives on time41%First flight not cancelled (2.9% are) × connection made (73%) × second flight not cancelled (11.1% are) and within 15 minutes (66%).
Total trip3h 52mBDL 15:02 to PHL 18:54, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.