tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dulles → Honolulu via Las Vegas: arrives on time 79%

  1. 20:10 IAD → 22:19 LAS
    UA 1764 · United · 5h 09m · 77% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 36m layover in Las Vegas (LAS) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 01:55 LAS → 05:16 HNL +1 day
    AS 817 · Alaska · 6h 21m · 87% on time, 0.5% cancelled

Total trip 15h 06m, scheduled departure to arrival (Honolulu is 6 h behind Dulles). Times are local. Both flew on 46 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection91%The first flight arrived more than 126 minutes late on 9% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 36m layover.
Arrives on time79%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (91%) × second flight not cancelled (0.5% are) and within 15 minutes (87%).
Total trip15h 06mIAD 20:10 to HNL 05:16, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.