tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Rapid City → Phoenix via Denver: arrives on time 80%

  1. 07:00 RAP → 08:23 DEN
    UA 1767 · United · 1h 21m · 85% on time, 0.9% cancelled
  2. 3h 52m layover in Denver (DEN) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 12:15 DEN → 13:08 PHX
    AA 1757 · American · 1h 53m · 82% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 08m, scheduled departure to arrival (Phoenix is 1 h behind Rapid City). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 142 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 52m layover.
Arrives on time80%First flight not cancelled (0.9% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (82%).
Total trip7h 08mRAP 07:00 to PHX 13:08, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.