tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Rochester → New York via Chicago: arrives on time 74%

  1. 06:20 ROC → 07:28 ORD
    UA 1778 · United · 2h 08m · 81% on time, 2.7% cancelled
  2. 2h 07m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 09:35 ORD → 12:56 LGA
    DL 2252 · Delta · 2h 21m · 90% on time, 5.6% cancelled

Total trip 6h 36m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 36 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection90%The first flight arrived more than 37 minutes late on 10% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 07m layover.
Arrives on time74%First flight not cancelled (2.7% are) × connection made (90%) × second flight not cancelled (5.6% are) and within 15 minutes (90%).
Total trip6h 36mROC 06:20 to LGA 12:56, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.