tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Rochester → Washington via Chicago: arrives on time 78%

  1. 06:20 ROC → 07:28 ORD
    UA 1778 · United · 2h 08m · 81% on time, 2.7% cancelled
  2. 2h 32m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:00 ORD → 13:04 DCA
    UA 1381 · United · 2h 04m · 86% on time, 1.3% cancelled

Total trip 6h 44m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 32 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection94%The first flight arrived more than 107 minutes late on 6% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 32m layover.
Arrives on time78%First flight not cancelled (2.7% are) × connection made (94%) × second flight not cancelled (1.3% are) and within 15 minutes (86%).
Total trip6h 44mROC 06:20 to DCA 13:04, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.