tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Rochester → Newark via Chicago: arrives on time 66%

  1. 06:20 ROC → 07:28 ORD
    UA 1778 · United · 2h 08m · 81% on time, 2.7% cancelled
  2. 1h 12m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 08:40 ORD → 12:06 EWR
    UA 2301 · United · 2h 26m · 78% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 5h 46m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 37 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection89%The first flight arrived more than 27 minutes late on 11% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 12m layover.
Arrives on time66%First flight not cancelled (2.7% are) × connection made (89%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (78%).
Total trip5h 46mROC 06:20 to EWR 12:06, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.