tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Washington → Tulsa via Houston: arrives on time 44%

  1. 16:59 DCA → 19:27 IAH
    UA 1785 · United · 3h 28m · 66% on time, 0.7% cancelled
  2. 47m layover in Houston (IAH) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:14 IAH → 21:52 TUL
    UA 6269 · United, flown by Mesa · 1h 38m · 81% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 53m, scheduled departure to arrival (Tulsa is 1 h behind Washington). Times are local. Both flew on 31 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection54%The first flight arrived more than 2 minutes late on 46% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 47m layover.
Arrives on time44%First flight not cancelled (0.7% are) × connection made (54%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (81%).
Total trip5h 53mDCA 16:59 to TUL 21:52, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.