tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Raleigh/Durham → Tampa via Dulles: arrives on time 88%

  1. 06:00 RDU → 07:11 IAD
    UA 1789 · United · 1h 11m · 96% on time, 1.8% cancelled
  2. 1h 49m layover in Dulles (IAD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:00 IAD → 11:32 TPA
    UA 683 · United · 2h 32m · 91% on time, 0.6% cancelled

Total trip 5h 32m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 64 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 49m layover.
Arrives on time88%First flight not cancelled (1.8% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (0.6% are) and within 15 minutes (91%).
Total trip5h 32mRDU 06:00 to TPA 11:32, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.