tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Santa Barbara → San Francisco via Denver: arrives on time 60%

  1. 12:48 SBA → 16:16 DEN
    UA 1790 · United · 2h 28m · 76% on time, 0.4% cancelled
  2. 1h 38m layover in Denver (DEN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:54 DEN → 19:40 SFO
    UA 1007 · United · 2h 46m · 68% on time, 0.3% cancelled

Total trip 6h 52m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection89%The first flight arrived more than 53 minutes late on 11% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 38m layover.
Arrives on time60%First flight not cancelled (0.4% are) × connection made (89%) × second flight not cancelled (0.3% are) and within 15 minutes (68%).
Total trip6h 52mSBA 12:48 to SFO 19:40, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.