tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Francisco → Cleveland via Dulles: arrives on time 54%

  1. 13:15 SFO → 21:25 IAD
    UA 1791 · United · 5h 10m · 76% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Dulles (IAD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:15 IAD → 23:44 CLE
    UA 2131 · United · 1h 29m · 85% on time, 0.6% cancelled

Total trip 7h 29m, scheduled departure to arrival (Cleveland is 3 h ahead of San Francisco). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection65%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 35% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time54%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (65%) × second flight not cancelled (0.6% are) and within 15 minutes (85%).
Total trip7h 29mSFO 13:15 to CLE 23:44, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.