Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Francisco → Indianapolis via Dulles: arrives on time 42%

  1. 13:15 SFO → 21:25 IAD
    UA 1791 · United · 5h 10m · 76% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 51m layover in Dulles (IAD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:16 IAD → 23:59 IND
    UA 4021 · United, flown by Mesa · 1h 43m · 67% on time, 3.2% cancelled

Total trip 7h 44m, scheduled departure to arrival (Indianapolis is 3 h ahead of San Francisco). Times are local. Both flew on 31 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection66%The first flight arrived more than 6 minutes late on 34% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 51m layover.
Arrives on time42%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (66%) × second flight not cancelled (3.2% are) and within 15 minutes (67%).
Total trip7h 44mSFO 13:15 to IND 23:59, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.