tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Washington → St Louis via Chicago: arrives on time 69%

  1. 06:30 DCA → 07:46 ORD
    UA 1793 · United · 2h 16m · 92% on time, 1.7% cancelled
  2. 1h 14m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:00 ORD → 10:34 STL
    UA 4613 · United, flown by GoJet · 1h 34m · 75% on time, 1.7% cancelled

Total trip 5h 04m, scheduled departure to arrival (St Louis is 1 h behind Washington). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 29 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 14m layover.
Arrives on time69%First flight not cancelled (1.7% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (1.7% are) and within 15 minutes (75%).
Total trip5h 04mDCA 06:30 to STL 10:34, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.